Time is catching up with buy-now-pay-later firm Klarna.
The Swedish fintech company, and Europe’s third most valuable startup, seeks to raise $1 billion at a valuation of around $30 billion, a third less than it fetched less than a year ago, according to The Wall Street Journal. Amid this year’s tech rout, it’s not the only firm that should expect to take a step back.
Klarna was valued at just $3.5 billion in 2019, but came out the other side of the pandemic with a massive new valuation as more and more retail transactions moved online. “Buy now, pay later” (BNPL) pitches itself as a consumer-friendly way to make large purchases without interest or fees, and is especially popular with Gen Z. The segment now processes $55 billion in transactions in the US alone, according to Mercator.
Like many startups, Klarna is focused on growing its customer base and achieving scale, which means raising a lot of money and operating at a loss for a while. Investors buy-in because of the promise of profits and higher valuations down the road. But this year’s market downturn and major new BNPL entrants are putting up roadblocks to this approach:
- When the company sought to raise money at a $50 billion valuation earlier this year, investors balked, according to the WSJ.
- Klarna’s not the only startup to feel the sting: “If you plan to raise money in the next 6-12 months, you might be raising at the peak of the downturn,” Y Combinator, a famed tech incubator behind Dropbox and Reddit, wrote in a note to its portfolio company founders Thursday. “Remember that your chances of success are extremely low, even if your company is doing well.”
Equity in private startups is still trading at a premium, according to private stock marketplace Forge Global, but on average it fell from a 58% premium over a company’s last fundraising round in Q4 2021 to a 24% premium in Q1 2022.
Concern Now, Regulation Later: Shares in Klarna’s BNPL competitor Affirm, which trades on the Nasdaq, are down 75% this year. Traditional lenders and PayPal, the original fintech giant, have moved into the space, while UK and US regulators have both hinted at forthcoming regulation. When it rains it pours. At least you can still pay for that fancy umbrella in four easy installments.