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What were the odds that Polymarket’s bank would drop it?

We don ‘t recall seeing a contract for that on any event-prediction platform before Polymarket was canceled by JPMorgan . The premiere bank made the call last year over growing regulatory concerns, the Financial Times reported; at the time, Polymarket was barred from taking on US customers.

The bane of many advisors, Polymarket and its main competitor, Kalshi, blur the lines between investing and gambling. Users wager on binary outcomes like “Will the Fed increase rates in September?” or “Where will soccer player Enzo Fernandez transfer?” While there is a regulated version of the platform available in the US, Polymarket faces restrictions in a handful of states, where officials have argued that its contracts violate state gaming laws.

Despite those concerns, one source told the FT that JPMorgan is still interested in working with Polymarket as an underwriter should it ever attempt to go public.

Always leaving that door open just a crack.

You have likely already mapped out a rough RIA flight plan: a few months to register, about a year to breakeven.

But the real forecast calls for a much longer runway. Registration typically takes 90 to 120 days, not the 45 to 60 commonly cited, and profitability can take 18 to 24 months.

Our new guide, RIA Launch Reality Check, walks you through this and the other crosswinds no one mentions before you file your ADV.

Read it before you build your runway.

This Week’s Highlights

Artificial Intelligence

Anthropic’s $6 Billion Deal Talks With Decart Show Focus on Cost Efficiency

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Health and Long Term Care

Medicare Advantage or Traditional Plus Supplemental? Choose Wisely 

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Thematics & Sectors

Why This ETF’s 1,700% Return Isn’t Attracting Buy-and-Hold Investors

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resources

A Handful of Companies Are Spending $600 Billion on AI This Year. Monetization to follow, presumably. Empower Investments Chief Investment Strategist Marta Norton joins Sean Allocca and John Manganaro to explain what separates a real bubble from a big price move, why that level of spending still has the feel of speculative excess, and why the path to justifying it is a narrow one. Plus: why geopolitical shocks reach portfolios mostly when they move earnings or inflation, and why “I hit my number” is a dangerous way to plan a retirement.

Edited by Sean Allocca. Written by Emile Hallez, Griffin Kelly, John Manganaro, Lilly Riddle, and Quinn Waller.

Advisor Upside is a publication of The Daily Upside. For any questions or comments, feel free to contact us at advisor@thedailyupside.com.

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