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Good morning.

As 2025 winds down, Wall Street has one big question: How big will the bonuses be? Early signs point straight up.

NYSE member firms spent nearly 10% more on compensation, including salaries, bonuses and equity in the first half of 2025 than a year earlier, according to the New York State Comptroller. Strong dealmaking, rising stock prices, relatively stable employment and healthy bank earnings point toward another big payout, possibly surpassing last year’s record $244,700 average bonus. Still, the city’s budget projects the industry’s overall bonus pool will drop 14% year over year.

It all means that Wall Street’s finest may end 2025 singing “It’s the most wonderful time of the year,” or grumbling “Bah, humbug!”

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Advisor Upside is edited by Sean Allocca. You can find him on LinkedIn.

Advisor Upside is a publication of The Daily Upside. For any questions or comments, feel free to contact us at advisor@thedailyupside.com.

Disclaimer

*Source: CNBC as of February 2025.

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