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Good morning and happy Monday.

New Jerseyans love to boast that they’re only a quick train ride away from the big city. They just don’t mention the price tag, which will be particularly high for World Cup fans this summer.

On Friday, officials for the transit authority announced that it will charge riders $150 for a roundtrip ticket from New York City’s Penn Station to MetLife Stadium for the eight World Cup games there. Of course, that’s still peanuts compared to the actual games, where tickets have surged into the thousands of dollars thanks to FIFA’s dynamic pricing tool. New Jersey’s transit authority also offered a piece of advice for regular commuters thinking about using the service on game days: Don’t. Think of it this way: Even with surge pricing, Uber will be a relative bargain.

Autos

US Automakers Poised to Benefit from Pentagon’s Request for Manufacturing Support

Photo of US President Donald Trump touring a Ford facility.
Photo via Daniel Torok/White House/Newscom

The Pentagon is calling up its industrial reserves.

Senior defense officials in the Trump administration have met with auto and manufacturing execs including General Motors CEO Mary Barra and Ford Motor CEO Jim Farley to discuss the companies producing weapons and military supplies, The Wall Street Journal reported last week, citing people familiar with the discussions. Oshkosh and GE Aerospace were also involved.

As the wars in Ukraine and Iran drag on, the government is seeking to take advantage of the auto industry’s mastery of modular assembly to solve a critical shortfall in drone and missile stockpiles.

In a statement shared with the Journal, a Pentagon official said that the Defense Department “is committed to rapidly expanding the defense industrial base by leveraging all available commercial solutions and technologies to ensure our warfighters maintain a decisive advantage.”

Upside for Autos

The auto industry doesn’t have it easy right now. High interest rates and prices (an average of $49,275 for new cars in March, per Kelley Blue Book data) have kept buyers from the market. Gas prices have also soared in recent months due to the conflict in the Middle East, right when many car companies were pulling back on electric vehicles to double down on gas-powered ones. Getting mobilized by the federal government could help.

“It’s probably more positive than negative for the automakers, unless the government refused to pay or not pay a market price,” David Whiston, senior equity analyst at Morningstar covering US autos, told The Daily Upside. “The government is not asking for a complete shutdown of light vehicle production like what the auto industry did for World War II, so if there’s some excess capacity somewhere, maybe it can be used.”

General Motors, which reentered military work with GM Defense in 2017, is well-positioned to benefit:

  • The company already has contracts to build military vehicles at a North Carolina plant, which could potentially get capital to expand, Whiston said.
  • GM’s Orion plant in Michigan “is also already getting a huge investment for pickup and SUV production, so maybe they could add defense capacity there, too, if they want to spend the money,” he added.

Sales Drop: Earlier this month, General Motors reported that sales had dropped roughly 10% during the first quarter from a year earlier, and said it expects a similar decline for the industry as a whole. The company, along with its fellow “Big Three” US automakers, Ford and Stellantis, will report first-quarter earnings at the end of the month.

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Industrials

Amazon’s $11B Globalstar Deal Fuels Project Leo’s Pursuit of Starlink’s Contrails

Photo of an Amazon Leo satellite launch.
Photo via Charles Briggs/ZUMAPRESS/Newscom

The billionaires are at it again, as Elon Musk’s Starlink and Jeff Bezos-owned Amazon Leo battle for satellite dominance in the stars.

Starlink is light-years ahead of Amazon’s Project Leo (an acronym for low Earth orbit), previously Project Kuiper. But Leo’s preparing to pounce, last week announcing an agreement to buy Globalstar for a whopping $11.6 billion. The transaction’s expected to close next year.

Globalstar has only 24 satellites in orbit, but what it lacks in metal it makes up for with GPS tracking tech and global licenses that allow its satellites to connect directly to devices. Those licenses could help Amazon race toward actually launching its satellite internet service, slated to go live later this year.

The Race to Fill Space

Project Leo is barely a Padawan compared to Jedi Master Starlink, which serves more than 10 million customers with about 10,000 operational satellites. Starlink is valued at $1 trillion, making up the bulk of SpaceX’s reported IPO goal of $1.75 trillion.

Leo, meanwhile, has only 242 satellites in orbit and plans to start rolling out its service to some customers this year. But Leo’s service could grow rapidly if it taps into Amazon’s 200 million Prime members.

And the rival billionaire-led companies have ambitions that go beyond rural cell reception. They’re also exploring how their spacecraft can be used as AI data centers:

  • As data centers tap massive amounts of energy and land down on Earth, a growing number of companies are exploring how to shoot them into the sky. Musk has said upgraded Starlink satellites could take on AI computing needs, while The Wall Street Journal reported late last year that Bezos-owned Blue Origin has quietly been working on the tech to put its own AI data centers into orbit.
  • Google’s Planet Labs, one of the company’s moonshots, aims to launch two satellites next year that’ll process AI while in orbit. OpenAI and IBM have also explored similar satellite technology.

Space Real Estate: The infrastructure that connects Americans is still mostly cell towers poorly disguised as trees and underground cables contending with real trees’ roots. Eight in 10 US households have access to cable for their internet service, and most calls are routed through towers. That won’t change in a single satellite orbit around the Earth. Data centers, on the other hand, are being built at a rapid clip and actively uglifying their neighborhoods, which could slow if some computing is outsourced to space.

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Media & Entertainment

Saudi’s Sovereign Wealth Fund Calls It Quits on Golf … And Maybe More

LIV Golf is facing a liquidity event of the worst kind: a withdrawal by its only benefactor.

As the league’s planned merger with the PGA Tour remains in limbo, and amid sinking TV ratings and attention, LIV Golf CEO Scott O’Neil confirmed reports on Friday that Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund (PIF) is preparing to cut its financial support for the tour altogether. LIV is the first victim of the PIF’s new approach to big spending and soft power. It probably isn’t the last.

LIV Free, Die Hard

The exit came just after PIF released the five-year investment plan for its $925 billion sovereign wealth fund last week. Conspicuously absent in the entire report? Any mention of sports (though “e-sports” was cited as a strategic sector). Instead, the roadmap vowed investment in key domestic sectors, including transportation and sustainability. “Local investment should be 80%, and we aim for international investment to be ​20%,” PIF Governor Yasir ⁠Al-Rumayyan told Saudi-based Al Arabiya Business last week. International investment hit a peak of around 30% in prior years.

LIV appears to be among the early cuts, though the sovereign wealth fund has quietly been pulling back its broader sports ambitions anyhow:

  • After a spate of massive deals to lure high-profile soccer stars to the Saudi Pro League in 2022 and 2023, headlined by a contract that reportedly still pays Cristiano Ronaldo $245 million annually, the rate of big-time contracts being handed out has notably slowed, according to a recent analysis by The Athletic.
  • Meanwhile, in tennis, The Athletic also reported last week that PIF appears unlikely to extend a three-year contract to sponsor the WTA Tour Finals that ended last year and, in 2025, paid Kazakhstani tennis star Elena Rybakina the largest winner’s check in the history of women’s sports.

Double Bogey: As far as LIV is concerned, O’Neil told TNT Sports he has a plan to keep the league alive “that might surprise people.” For PIF, the entire endeavor can be chalked up to a $5 billion mulligan spread across roughly five years. To be fair, spending lots of money on your golf game with little to show for it is about as relatable as it gets.

Extra Upside

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Disclaimer

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